Does political proximity matter to Russia’s oil preferential partners? The impact of the conflict in Ukraine

This article examines the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the trade of oil, specifically focusing on changes in Russian oil exports and its main partners. It highlights the use of trade restrictions as a measure to discriminate against countries that oppose Russian actions and explores how...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Seabra, Fernando (author)
Other Authors: Pereira Junior, Ailton Manoel (author), Leal, Pedro Soares (author), Muraro, Valentina Gallio (author)
Format: article
Language:English
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/47238
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Summary:This article examines the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the trade of oil, specifically focusing on changes in Russian oil exports and its main partners. It highlights the use of trade restrictions as a measure to discriminate against countries that oppose Russian actions and explores how political alignment influences trade exchanges. Such regional military conflict has a specific impact on energy inputs demand and oil supply. Therefore, we propose empirical measures related to political proximity among countries. The results indicate that commercial restrictions and, mainly, political alignments condition Russian oil exports, molding the contemporary international political economy and reinforcing the role of oil as a strategic asset in international relations.